Publications

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2012
J. A. F. Diniz-Filho, Collevatti, R. G., Chaves, L. J., Soares, T. N., Nabout, J. C., Rangel, T. F., Melo, D. B., Lima, J. S., and Telles, M. P. C., Geographic shifts in climatically suitable areas and loss of genetic variability in Dipteryx alata (“Baru” Tree; Fabaceae), vol. 11, pp. 1618-1626, 2012.
Allouche O, Tsoar A and Kadmon R (2006). Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). J. Appl. Ecol. 43: 1223-1232. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01214.x   Alsos IG, Alm T, Normand S and Brochmann C (2009). Past and future range shifts and loss of diversity in dwarf willow (Salix herbacea L.) inferred from genetics, fossils and modeling. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 18: 223-239. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2008.00439.x   Araújo MB and New M (2007). Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Trends Ecol. Evol. 22: 42-47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2006.09.010 PMid:17011070   Collevatti RG, Nabout JC and Diniz-Filho JAF (2011a). Range shift and loss of genetic diversity under climate change in Caryocar brasiliense, a Neotropical tree species. Tree Genet. Genomes 7: 1237-1247. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11295-011-0409-z   Collevatti RG, Grattapaglia D and Hay JD (2011b). Population genetic structure of the endangered tropical tree species Caryocar brasiliense, based on variability at microsatellite loci. Mol. Ecol. 10: 349-356. http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.2001.01226.x   Cornuet JM and Luikart G (1996). Description and power analysis of two tests for detecting recent population bottlenecks from allele frequency data. Genetics 144: 2001-2014. PMid:8978083 PMCid:1207747   Diniz-Filho JAF (2004). Phylogenetic diversity and conservation priorities under distinct models of phenotypic evolution. Conserv. Biol. 18: 698-704. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00260.x   Diniz-Filho JAF and Bini LM (2008). Macroecology, global change and the shadow of forgotten ancestors. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 17: 11-17.   Diniz-Filho JAF, Bini LM, Rangel TF, Loyola RD, et al. (2009a). Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change. Ecography 32: 897-906. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06196.x   Diniz-Filho JAF, Oliveira G, Bini LM, Loyola RD, et al. (2009b). Conservation biogeography and climate change in Brazilian Cerrado. Nat. Conserv. 7: 8-18.   Diniz-Filho JAF, Ferro VG, Santos T, Nabout JC, et al. (2010a). The three phases of the ensemble forecasting of niche models: geographic range and shifts in climatically suitable areas of Utetheisa ornatrix (Lepidoptera, Arctiidae). Rev. Bras. Entomol. 54: 339-349. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0085-56262010000300001   Diniz-Filho JAF, Nabout JC, Bini LM, Loyola RD, et al. (2010b). Ensemble forecasting shifts in climatically suitable areas for Tropidacris cristata (Orthoptera: Acridoidea: Romaleidae). Insect Conserv. Divers. 3: 213-221.   Elith J and Graham CH (2009). Do they? How do they? Why do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models. Ecography 32: 66-77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05505.x   Kerr JT, Kharouba HM and Currie DJ (2007). The macroecological contribution to global change solutions. Science 316: 1581-1584. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1133267 PMid:17569854   Luikart G, Allendorf FW, Cornuet JM and Sherwin WB (1998). Distortion of allele frequency distributions provides a test for recent population bottlenecks. J. Hered. 89: 238-247. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jhered/89.3.238 PMid:9656466   Marini MA, Barbet-Massin M, Lopes LE and Jiguet F (2009). Predicted climate-driven bird distribution changes and forecasted conservation conflicts in a Neotropical savanna. Conserv. Biol. 23: 1558-1567. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01258.x PMid:19500118   Marmion M, Parviainen M, Luoto M, Heikkinen RK, et al. (2009). Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modeling. Divers. Distrib. 15: 59-69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00491.x   Nabout JC, Soares TN, Diniz-Filho JAF, De Marco P Jr, et al. (2010). Combining multiple models to predict the geographical distribution of the Baru tree (Dipteryx alata Vogel) in the Brazilian Cerrado. Braz. J. Biol. 70: 911-919. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1519-69842010000500001 PMid:21180894   Nabout JC, Oliveira G, Magalhães MR, Terribile LC, et al. (2011). Global climate change and the production of "Pequi" fruits (Caryocar brasiliense) in the Brazilian Cerrado. Nat. Conserv. 9: 55-60. http://dx.doi.org/10.4322/natcon.2011.006   Parmesan C (2006). Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 37: 637-669. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100   Purvis A, Agapow PM, Gittleman JL and Mace GM (2000). Nonrandom extinction and the loss of evolutionary history. Science 288: 328-330. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.288.5464.328 PMid:10764644   Sechrest W, Brooks TM, Fonseca GAB, Konstant WR, et al. (2003). Hotspots and the conservation of evolutionary history. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 99: 2067-2071. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.251680798 PMid:11854502 PMCid:122320   Siqueira MF and Peterson AT (2003). Consequences of global climate change for geographic distributions of cerrado tree species. Biota Neotrop. 3: 1-14.   Soares TN, Melo DB, Resende LV, Vianello RP, et al. (2012). Development of microsatellite markers for the Neotropical tree species Dipteryx alata (Fabaceae). Am. J. Bot. 99: e72-e73. http://dx.doi.org/10.3732/ajb.1100377 PMid:22282111   Thuiller W, Lavergne S, Roquet C, Boulangeat I, et al. (2011). Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe. Nature 470: 531-534. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature09705 PMid:21326204